As your LOCAL Anthem Resident REALTOR® I keep extensive records of Anthem resale home values. The following statistical information is very informative. (All data is derived from the AZ MLS system and is for resale homes).
Demand for housing in Anthem is still very strong, fueled by low prices, low interest rates and strong buying interest from out of state. We are experiencing an extreme shortage of houses for sale and because of this lack of active inventory this is a great time to sell your house if current market conditions work for you. Table 1 illustrates 2010 active listing numbers and the number of homes under contract.
Table 1
| Active Listings |
| |
Parkside |
Country Club |
| 1/5 |
176 |
76 |
| 2/10 |
146 |
76 |
| 3/12 |
149 |
82 |
| 4/7 |
150 |
86 |
| 5/6 |
144 |
75 |
| Under Contract |
| |
Parkside |
Country Club |
| 1/5 |
162 |
49 |
| 2/10 |
236 |
58 |
| 3/12 |
244 |
62 |
| 4/7 |
226 |
72 |
| 5/6 |
244 |
75 |
During the first quarter of 2010 the average sales price of closed sales in the Country Club increased 1% for the first time in 3 years. During 2008 and 2009 we saw average sale price reductions of 19% and 21% respectively. These percentages come from the average sales price of 2006 which peaked at $541,235.
Average sales price for the first quarter of 2010 was $314,463.
During the first quarter of 2010 I finally sold the only Country Club houses over $700,000 since October of 2008. There were two properties I listed that closed escrow at $725,000. They were traditional sales not bank owned or short sales. In 2009 the most money paid for a Country Club property was $630,000.
In Parkside there was a first quarter decrease in average sales price of 3% and which was the lowest in 3 years. Parkside 2008 and 2009 average sale prices were off 29% and 20 % respectively from the 2006 peak.
A Parkside house sold for above $500,000 for the first time since April of 2008.
Table 2 represents Anthem sales volume and type of sale by month for 2010.
Table 2
| Parkside |
| |
REO |
Short |
Traditional |
| Jan |
21 |
17 |
6 |
| Feb |
27 |
19 |
19 |
| Mar |
40 |
30 |
27 |
| Apr |
18 |
35 |
18 |
| Country Club |
| Jan |
3 |
3 |
5 |
| Feb |
3 |
7 |
14 |
| Mar |
8 |
8 |
15 |
| Apr |
6 |
7 |
13 |
Per Cromford Report data: Demand in the valley clearly remains strong, except at the luxury end of the market, and overall supply has declined noticeably. All other things being equal, this should lead to higher pricing in the medium term. In the recent past, however, prices moved in the opposite direction. Overall sales pricing (in $/SF) weakened during April, but remains some 6% above levels set 12 months ago when lender-owned properties dominated the market. The current weakness has all three categories declining in price during April. (Real Estate Owned REOs – Bank Owned) declined by 3.2%, short sales & pre-foreclosures by 1.8% and normal sales by 4% compared with March. Despite the sharpest decline for several months, the pricing of pending listings suggest that this declining trend will reverse a little in May. At the moment we see no strong consistent sales price momentum either downwards or upwards.
New notices of trustee sale were quite light in April compared with the last two years, with 7,061 notices, 22% fewer than April 2009. Trustee sales declined 20% from the very high level they reached in March 2010, but they were up 43% compared with April 2009. You would therefore expect the number of pending foreclosures to decline and the number of REOs to increase. You would be right on the first count, but wrong on the second. Pending foreclosures are declining quite fast now and at 46,834 are 9% below the level at the turn of the year. However the high volume of foreclosed properties is not causing the number of REOs listed on ARMLS to rise. In fact we currently see only 5,083 which is just 42 day’s inventory. It appears that some banks are introducing new processes for the disposal of REOs.
Overall pricing has been fairly stable for the past 9 months across most of the market. Declines in the higher end of the market have been balanced by increases at the bottom end. As predicted for the last several months, overall annual appreciation turned positive in late February and is now reaching a peak. It is likely to fall back over the next several months but remain above zero.
Side Note
I believe these are the best deals available in the real estate market that we may ever see again. If I were an investment counselor (I am not), I would say that if you have the need and the money, look for your dream home and buy now!
Please call on me for your real estate needs. If you have a close friend or family member that needs my services, please refer them to me. They will be in good hands.